About the Inventor

• "Method and Apparatus for Preventing Oligopoly Collusion," Patent application originally filed on November 29, 1988. On November 23, 1998, a favorable decision by a three-panel Board of Patent Appeals and Interferences overturned a subject matter rejection by the patent examiner. On December 15, 1999, the group director chose to appeal this decision to an expanded Board of Patent Appeals and Interferences. On July 3, 2001, before the expanded Board had ruled on the appeal, the case was assigned to a new patent examiner, who withdrew the appeal. After conducting an examination on the merits, the new patent examiner was forced by superiors to reject patentability based solely on subject matter grounds. This rejection was appealed on June 18, 2003. On April 20, 2004, oral argument on the second appeal was heard before a five-person panel of the Board of Patent Appeals and Interferences. On September 28, 2005 the Board mailed a favorable decision, which is both published and precedential. This decision is Ex parte Lundgren. As of November 14, 2005, it is not yet known whether a patent will issue.
  
• "Using Relative Profit Incentives to Prevent Collusion," Review of Industrial Organization, Volume 11, Number 4, August 1996, pp. 533-550.
  
• Contest Report, Contest to Investigate an Economic Invention, 1993.

• "Method of Eliciting Unbiased Forecasts by Relating a Forecaster's Pay to the Forecaster's Contribution to a Collective Forecast," Patent application originally filed on March 19, 1990. U.S. Patent 5,608,620 issued March 4, 1997.
  
• "Forecasting Incentives Based on Value Marginal Product"
  
• "Peer-Group Forecasting Incentives for Unobserved Variables"
  
• "Forecasting Incentives for an Aggregated Mutual Fund"
• For copies of patents and papers for invention 2, see Technical Papers

• "A Combined Test For Equity and Efficiency in DSM Funding," Proceedings of the Eighth NARUC Biennial Regulatory Information Conference, Volume I: Electric & Gas, The National Regulatory Research Institute, NRRI 92-20, September 1992, pp. 225-244.
  
• Conservation and Demand-Side Management Activities of Illinois Utilities, 1988-1990, Illinois Commerce Commission Staff Report, January 1992.
  
• Ph.D. Thesis: "Prospect Theory and Imperfect Reputation as Microeconomic Causes of Downward Wage Rigidity and Involuntary Unemployment."
  
• "Efficiency of the Information Incentives of a Financial Market"
  
• "Distributional Implications of Marginal-Productivity Natural Property Rights"
  
• "Conflict Resolution in a Federation of Unequal States"
  
• "Military Defense in a Federation of Unequal States"
  
• "Can Economics Predict the Next Global War?" with James Lynch
  
• "Alternative Approaches to Solving Keynesian Unemployment Within a General Equilibrium Macroeconomic Model"
  
• "A Prospective Cause of Downward Wage Rigidity."

EDUCATION:

Princeton University, Ph.D. economics, January 1988.

University of California - Davis, A.B. economics, June 1982.

College of San Mateo, A.A. data processing, January 1981.

• Mine Safety and Health Administration, Arlington, Virginia, Economist, August 2000 to present.
  
• United States Census Bureau, Upper Marlboro, Maryland, Survey Statistician, November 1997 to August 2000.
  
• Illinois Commerce Commission, Springfield, Illinois, Energy Programs Division: Integrated Resource Planning (10/92 to 5/95) & Energy Conservation (7/91 to 9/92), Economic Analyst, July 1991 to May 1995, Promoted to Senior Economic Analyst, March 1992.
  
• Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, Visiting Assistant Professor, August 1990 to May 1991.
  
• Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan, Research Fellow, College of Urban, Labor, and Metropolitan Affairs, November 1988 to July 1989.
  
• Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, Michigan, Temporary Assistant Professor, January 1988 to May 1988; Temporary Instructor, August 1987 to December 1987.
  
• Cleveland State University, Cleveland, Ohio, Visiting Instructor, September 1986 to June 1987.

RESEARCH FIELDS:

Industrial Organization

Labor Economics

Microeconomic Theory

• Filed an amicus brief before the Appeals Court in the Microsoft antitrust case, Consolidated Docket Nos. 00-5212 & 00-5213, U.S. Court of Appeals, D.C. Circuit. Brief advocated that the District Court should have held remedy hearings before deciding on remedy. Also filed an amicus brief during second appeal, Docket 03-5030, after Tunney Act hearings.
  
• Filed amicus briefs and Tunney Act comments before the District Court in the Microsoft antitrust case, Consolidated Civil Action Nos. 98-1232 & 98-1233 (TPJ & CKK), U.S. District Court for D.C. Briefs advocated use of relative profit maximizing incentives to assure no collusion and no predatory behavior by successor Microsoft firms. Tunney Act comments also provided a computer model showing that breaking Microsoft into two or more companies is best for consumers.
  
• Filed four public comments in Federal Communications Commission Docket 99-333, Proposed Merger of MCI WorldCom, Inc. and Sprint Corporation. Advocated the use of relative profit maximizing incentives as a way for the merger to pass antitrust hurdles.
  
• Performed regulatory economic analysis for the proposed rule and the final rule for the use of belt air in underground coal mines.
  
• Performed regulatory economic analysis for the final rule for emergency evacuations in underground coal mines.
  
• Performed regulatory economic analysis for unpublished mining industry rules.
  
• Case manager and witness in Illinois Commerce Commission Docket 94-0066, the third comprehensive electric energy least-cost plan for the State of Illinois.
  
• Case manager and witness in Illinois Commerce Commission Docket 92-0270, the least-cost plan for one Illinois electric utility.
  
• Witness in Illinois Commerce Commission Docket 92-0268, the least-cost plan for a large Illinois electric utility; used SAS statistical software to investigate the econometric forecasting models of this Illinois utility.
  
• Witness in Illinois Commerce Commission Docket 92-0271, the least-cost plan for a large Illinois electric utility; used EGEAS planning software to implement an integrated planning model for this Illinois utility.

PERSONAL:

Born, 1955, San Francisco, California, U.S.A.

Married, 1981; Separated, 2005

Three Children, born 1991, 1996, 1998

For additional information, please contact ValMarPro Forecasting, Inc.